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Ontario projects 1,600 COVID-19 deaths by end of April; trajectory 'not quite as good' as B.C.'s

Ontario has released its projections for the province’s COVID-19 spread, saying that it will see about 1,600 deaths and 80,000 cases by the end of the month if the current pace is maintained.
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The COVID-19 global outbreak started in China’s Hubei province | Shutterstock

Ontario has released its projections for the province’s COVID-19 spread, saying that it will see about 1,600 deaths and 80,000 cases by the end of the month if the current pace is maintained.

Public Health Ontario president/CEO Peter Donnelly said that the province, given current projections, is following a trajectory “similar to that in the United States” and “not quite as good… as in British Columbia.” But Donnelly also added it is difficult to assess the full progress of B.C., Ontario or any other jurisdiction because the numbers are dependent on who is being tested for COVID-19.

The projection also shows the final death count in Ontario from the pandemic to range widely from 3,000 to 15,000 depending on circumstances and measures put in place. Officials did note, however, that had social distancing and lockdowns not been put in place, the end-of-April projections would have been a much more grim set of figures - with 6,000 deaths and 300,000 cases.

As of Friday, Ontario has 3,255 cases of COVID-19 and 67 deaths.